College Football Week 4 Best Betting Picks, Predictions September twentieth | Deadspin.com

We’ve acquired a large slate of faculty soccer video games this week. Last week’s slate of ranked video games was fairly weak, kinda like my picks. I used to be 5-5 on my official picks and an abysmal 2-6 on my leans. Great information, meaning I’m due for some scorching picks this week.

#17 Texas Tech (3-0) vs #16 Utah (3-0) -4.5 Total: 56.6

We’ve acquired a large Big 12 matchup this week, one which may determine who will get to make a journey to the Cowboys Stadium for a convention championship look. Both of those offenses have been firing to begin the 12 months, however they haven’t actually performed anybody of notice.

In the QB battle of Utah’s Devon Dampier and Texas Tech’s Behren Morton, I do have extra religion in Dampier; nonetheless, Tech’s protection is likely one of the finest they’ve ever had. The entire world looks as if they’re taking Utah at house, so I’m going to go towards the grain and take the Red Raiders in a really shut one.

Pick: Texas Tech +4.5

#22 Auburn (3-0) vs #11 Oklahoma (3-0) -7.5 Total: 47.5

In every week crammed with elite QB matchups, this is likely to be the most effective of the bunch. Jackson Arnold has discovered a second life at Auburn, whereas John Mateer has shortly grow to be the Heisman favourite early on this season.

Oklahoma’s protection has been probably the most stunning unit in faculty soccer to begin the 12 months, however I feel we’re getting method too forward of ourselves with the group as an entire. Michigan regarded horrible towards them, and I simply don’t see that win ageing nicely. On the opposite aspect, Auburn’s win over Baylor has shortly improved after their large win over SMU.

Michigan’s Justice Haynes was in a position to have some success working the ball, and I like how nicely Auburn has run it this 12 months. I feel Auburn will management this recreation and can pull off an in depth win in a higher-scoring recreation.

Pick: o47.5
Lean: Auburn +7.5

Tulane (3-0) vs Ole Miss (3-0) -13.5 Total: 61.5

We could also be in for a deal with in what was a basic SEC matchup. Both of those groups can rating the ball, however the line on this recreation makes zero sense.

Tulane is the most effective non-power 4 group within the nation. Jake Retzlaff had already proved that he was a legit energy 4 quarterback at BYU, and he has adopted that up by beginning the season by beating Northwestern and Duke. Neither of these groups is a real-world beater, however they’ve good expertise.

I feel Tulane has an opportunity to win out proper on this one, however extra importantly, I might be shocked in the event that they didn’t cowl. Ole Miss’ protection can’t cease anybody, so I anticipate this one to be an absolute shootout. This may sneakily be the most effective recreation of the week.

Pick: Tulane +13.5
Lean: o61.5

#21 Michigan (2-1) -1.5 vs Nebraska (3-0) Total: 47.5

Last week, Michigan remembered that Bryce Underwood is a freak athlete and will use his legs to jump-start the offense. Are they going to do not forget that this week?

Nebraska is a significantly better opponent than CMU, however additionally they confirmed some weak spot within the QB run recreation in week one towards Cincinnati, the place Brendan Sorsby ran for practically 100 yards and a pair of TDs. The Cornhuskers have the primary move protection in the complete nation, solely giving up 65.5 yards per recreation.

That’s a large concern for Michigan. Bryce Underwood was unable to hit large throws towards Oklahoma, and in one other intense atmosphere like Lincoln, Nebraska, I simply can’t convey myself to wager on the Wolverines. Dylan Raiola has matured as a quarterback up to now this season, and I feel this recreation might be the large stepping stone for the Nebraska soccer program. I’m leaning towards Nebraska in a low-scoring rock battle.

Pick: u47.5
Lean: Nebraska +1.5

South Carolina (2-1) vs #23 Missouri (3-0) -9.5 Total: 48.5

At some level, folks might want to begin respecting Missouri. They are as soon as once more probably the most disrespected group within the nation, and this recreation goes to be my wager of the week.

Last week, Missouri was my choose of the week as a result of I assumed they’d cowl the overall by themselves, and that over hit within the first half. This week, the over is such a lock once more. Missouri is the Fifth-best-scoring offense, the most effective dashing offense, and the Thirty ninth-best passing offense within the nation.

They will rating at will on a South Carolina group that was uncovered final week towards Vandy. If LaNorris Sellers can play, this recreation goes over by at the least two scores. If he doesn’t play, Mizzou wins by at the least three touchdowns.

Play of the Week: o48.5
Play: Missouri -9.5

Florida (1-2) vs #4 Miami (3-0) -9.5 Total: 51.5

I stayed away from the Florida vs. LSU recreation final week as a result of the road didn’t make a lot sense. This week’s line is a bit of higher, but it surely definitely appears like Miami must be favored by extra.

The Hurricanes are the second-best group within the nation and have one of many extra full rosters in soccer. Their protection is robust sufficient to stifle DJ Lagway and the Gators, and so they confirmed final week that their run recreation will do sufficient to tire out a robust Florida defensive entrance and shortly take management of this one.

I’m solely giving a lean on this recreation as a result of, as a lot as I feel Miami rolls, I’m involved Florida may bounce again in an enormous rivalry recreation.

Lean: Miami -9.5

#9 Illinois (3-0) vs #19 Indiana (3-0) -6.5 Total: 52.5

The AP ballot doesn’t get a ton proper, however I feel they’re spot on with Illinois. The Illini have been receiving loads of disrespect this week from the media as they head to Bloomington for a large Big Ten showdown—one with enormous late-season playoff implications.

Fernando Mendoza has proven he can lead the Hoosiers’ offense towards their joke of a non-conference schedule, however what occurred final 12 months when Indiana bumped into some precise competitors?

They acquired smoked.

This Illinois group is extra confirmed, their protection will journey, and the veteran Luke Altmyer will cause them to an announcement win on the highway.

Pick: Illinois +6.5
Lean: u52.5

Michigan State (3-0) vs #25 USC (3-0) -18.5 Total: 55.5

This recreation was my runner-up for choose of the week.

Michigan State doesn’t have a reliable protection, and USC will expose that with the Spartans making the massive journey to LA. And whereas they may not have a protection, Aidan Chiles is likely one of the most underrated quarterbacks within the nation, and he may hold the Spartans on this recreation.

The solely factor I’m certain about within the recreation is that USC will rating on MSU. My uncertainty is that Chiles won’t be sufficient to maintain this shut. I might wager on Jayden Maiava to have an enormous recreation at house on this one, so hammer the over.

Pick: o55.5

2025 Record:
Picks: 14-11
Leans: 5-10