Greatest Bets for NFL 2022 Season – Week 17

All instances Eastern Standard Time

ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS

Sunday January 1st, 2023 1:00pm

Miami Dolphins (8-7), (7-8) ATS, (3-5) AWAY, (3-5) ATS @ NE Patriots (7-8), (8-7) ATS, (3-4) HOME, (3-4) ATS MIA+2 ½

LW, MIA was HOME FAV-4 vs GB. Sorry, however I appreciated GB on this sport. No one appreciated GB on this sport, whether or not it was NFL Network, ESPN, and so on. I appreciated GB as a result of the MIA secondary is suspect plus the secondary for GB has been stepping up these days. The run sport for MIA has mainly come to a halt. Yes, MIA did get 82yds dashing on this sport however that was the exception. MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa had 3INTS on three straight possessions within the 4th qtr which sealed the sport for GB. Plus, he suffered one other concussion which has now sidelined him for Teddy Bridgewater. MIA WRs Jaylen Waddle & Tyreek Hill proceed to dominate however different receivers on MIA don’t see the ball a lot, making the MIA OFF predictable. The closing rating was GB 26-20. LW, NE was a HOME DOG+3 ½ vs CINNCY. I appreciated CINNCY on this sport and at halftime it was CINNCY 22-0. But NE Bill Belichick made some changes and CINNCY QB Joe Burrow threw a PICK6 and earlier than you knew it, the sport was 22-18. This sport was a bit sloppy for each groups with missed alternatives. NE had an opportunity to go forward however a misplaced fumble by NE RB Rhamondre Stevenson which type of sealed it for CINNCY. NE QB Mac Jones wants to search out some consistency and NE wants some extra receivers. NE doesn’t have that one dominant receiver and will look within the off season to bolster their WR corps.

L15 NE(H) vs MIA, NE 12-3 SU & 9-6 ATS. L25 NE vs MIA, NE 13-12 ATS. L21 NE vs MIA, HOME 17-4 ATS. L21 MIA vs NE, FAV 12-9 ATS. MIA 0-2 ATS AWAY in JAN. MIA 1-2 ATS as a DOG in JAN. MIA 1-1 ATS vs AFC EAST in JAN. MIA 10-7-1 ATS earlier than NYJ. MIA 6-2 ATS off SU non-conf FAV loss. NE 14-4-1 ATS in 2nd of BB HGs. NE 1-1 ATS vs AFC EAST in JAN. NE 2-0 ATS @HOME in JAN. NE 2-1 ATS as a FAV in JAN. NE 13-6 ATS vs opp off DD ATS loss. NE 14-4 ATS w/revenge vs .400>conf opp. NE 18-4 ATS off non-div gm vs opp off SU loss 4>pts.

These two groups performed in wk 1 @MIA, with MIA profitable 20-7. It appears to be like nearly sure that MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa might be out for this sport and the final sport of the season as nicely. QB Teddy Bridgewater would begin in his place. Officially, Teddy began the one sport in wk 6 @HOME vs MINN. He threw 2tds & 2INTS and MIA misplaced 24-16. So the jury’s nonetheless out on Teddy on this sport. MIA has been slipping with a 4game shedding streak. MIA has been streaky. They have received 3 video games, misplaced 3 video games, received 5 video games, then misplaced 4 video games. NE nonetheless has one thing to play for too. The winner of this sport will most likely get into the playoffs. The loser will most likely go residence. NE DEF is sweet. Just while you least count on it, it’s there. NE LB Matt Judon has 15.5 sacks and searching for extra. NE LB Josh Uche has 11.5 sacks. Who will cease these two? NE is coming off a two sport shedding streak so somebody has to win this sport and MIA has not appeared good. The secondary for NE could be very underrated. DB/WR Marcus Jones who appears to be in all places is out of this sport with a concussion. However, lay the factors as NE will win by greater than 3pts.

THE PICK: NE-2 ½

Sunday January 1st, 2023 1:00pm

Carolina Panthers (6-9), (8-7) ATS (1-5) AWAY, (3-3) ATS @ TB Buccaneers (7-8), (3-11-1) ATS, (4-4) HOME, (1-6-1) ATS CAR+3

LW, TB & QB Tom Brady pulled one other rabbit out of the hat. TB was down 16-6 @ARZ within the 4th qtr however in some way scored a td, kicked a fg off a turnover after which kicked one other fg to win in OT, 19-16. I appreciated ARZ+7 ½ and ARZ ought to have received. But Brady and his magic play higher within the final 2 minutes of a sport then the primary 58 minutes. ARZ confirmed that TB will be run on and CAR was most likely taking notes. LW, CAR & DET had been 7-7 within the 1st qtr. DET was driving to go forward 14-7 however DET QB Jared Goff fumbled and CAR recovered. This was the turning level of the sport. CAR went the size of the sphere and scored a td and it was CAR 14-7 as an alternative of DET 14-7. CAR scored 24 straight factors earlier than DET scored a td to make the rating CAR 31-13. The closing rating could be CAR 37-23 and it wasn’t even that shut. But the story of this sport was the dashing sport for CAR. CAR rushed for 320yds & 3tds on 43carries. The 1-2 RB punch of D’Onta Foreman & Chuba Hubbard mixed for 290yds, 1td on 33 carries. CAR QB Sam Darnold was capable of unfold the ball round to 7different receivers and sprinkle passes in to enrich the run sport. DET couldn’t cease it.

L15 TB(H) vs CAR, TB 7-8 SU & 6-9 ATS. L31 CAR vs TB, FAV 18-13 ATS. L20 TB vs CAR, ROAD 13-7 ATS. L11 TB vs CAR, TB 7-4 ATS. CAR 9-10-1 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. CAR 0-3 ATS as a DOG in JAN. CAR 0-3 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in JAN. CAR 0-2 ATS AWAY in JAN. CAR 12-2 ATS off DD ATS win. CAR 20-15-1 ATS of DD SU win. CAR 3-10 ATS earlier than NO. CAR 12-6 ATS off SU DOG win. CAR 6-15 ATS vs div opp off non-div gm. CAR 9-0 ATS AWAY off DD ATS win. CAR 8-1 ATS off SU DOG win. TB 3-3-1 ATS since 2007 off SU OT win. TB 2-1 ATS as a FAV in JAN. TB 2-0 ATS vs NGC SOUTH in JAN. TB 2-0 ATS @HOME in JAN. TB 1-4-1 ATS as a HOME FAV in 2022. TB 6-3 ATS as a HOME FAV 3<pts vs opp off SU win. TB 4-8-1 ATS earlier than ATL. TB 10-0 ATS as a HOME FAV 3<pts w/revenge vs opp off SU win.

CAR likes to go run heavy they usually have the RBs to get the job completed. CAR #10 RUSH OFF vs TB #17 RUSH DEF. This will take a whole lot of strain off of Darnold who everyone knows will get a bit nervous if the sport is on his shoulders. TB received fortunate with their run sport LW however, TB #32 RUSH OFF. Don’t count on TB to go run heavy, they don’t have the horses. These two groups met in wk 7 @CAR and CAR was a BIG HOME DOG +11. I used to be on my common spot on the Rick Kamla Show and I informed everybody that there could be an upset by CAR and CAR received the sport BIG 21-3. In that sport, CAR rushed for 173yds & 1td on 27 carries. Foreman & Hubbard had a mixed 181yds, 1td on 24 carries. TB had no reply for these guys. Both of those groups have one thing to play for and I don’t see a blowout as a result of CAR will go run heavy and their RBs might be prepared. Believe it or not, due to the wacky NFC SOUTH this season, each groups have a reputable shot at profitable the NFC SOUTH and attending to the playoffs. Both of those groups might be giving their all and I count on CAR to run wild once more.

THE PICK: CAR+3

Sunday January 1st, 2023 4:00pm

Minnesota Vikings (12-3), (7-7-1) ATS, (4-2) AWAY, (3-3) ATS @ GB Packers (7-8), (7-7-1) ATS, (4-3) HOME, (3-4) ATS MINN+3

LW, I appreciated GB+4 @MIA. GB was down 20-10 however GB QB Aaron Rodgers wasn’t panicking. However, GB receivers are actually dropping extra passes than in previous seasons. Neither GB or MIA had been operating the ball efficiently however Rodgers stored the MIA DEF on its toes by spreading the ball round to 10 completely different receivers. The GB DEF additionally got here up large by forcing 3INTS within the 4th qtr and recovering 1 misplaced fumble. The GB secondary held MIA WRs Waddle & Hill from doing BIG injury. They had 9catches for 246yds & 1td. But they weren’t capable of do injury within the 2nd half after GB made some changes. The closing rating was GB 26-20. LW, MINN @HOME was fortunate to get by NYG. It took a 61yd fg to win the sport on the finish. I appreciated NYG+4 and it was NYG who made errors on the finish which gave the sport to MINN. For probably the most half, the NYG DEF shut down the MINN run sport however couldn’t cease MINN QB Kirk Cousins who threw 3tds, 0INTS & 0 misplaced fumbles. TE TJ Hockenson & WR Justin Jefferson mixed for 25 catches 242yds & 3tds. What helped MINN with the rating MINN 17-16, MINN blocked a punt which put the ball on the NYG 29yd line. MINN punched it in and the rating was MINN 24-16. NYG went down the sphere in below a minute with a td and 2pt conversion however MINN went 8plays and kicked a 61yd fg to win 27-24.

L15 GB(H) vs MINN, GB 9-4-2 SU & 9-5-1 ATS. L31 GB vs MINN, HOME 18-12-1 ATS L21 MINN vs GB, DOG 12-8 ATS 1PICK. MINN 7-12 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. MINN 1-2 ATS vs NFC NORTH in JAN. MINN 0-2 ATS AWAY in JAN. MINN 0-1 ATS as a DOG in JAN. MINN 14-5 ATS AWAY off BB SU wins. MINN 10-8 ATS earlier than CHI. MINN 21-13 ATS as a DOG 6<pts vs opp off SU win. MINN 9-3 ATS vs opp w/revenge off BB SU wins. GB Sep 11-1 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. GB 2-1 ATS vs NFC NORTH in JAN. GB 2-1 ATS as a FAV in JAN. GB 1-0 ATS @HOME in JAN. GB 6-9 ATS off SU OG win. GB 18-5 ATS @HOME off non-conf gm. GB 14-4 ATS as a HOME FAV 13<pts off non-conf gm. 11-10-1 ATS off BB SUATS wins.

Aaron Rodgers is somebody that doesn’t neglect issues. In wk 1 of the 2022 NFL season MINN embarrassed GB @MINN, 23-7. In that sport, Rodgers was sacked 4x, threw 1INT & had 1 misplaced fumble. MINN DE Za’Darius Smith had a sack of Rodgers in that sport. But in his final eight video games he has primarily disappeared with 1 ½ sacks. Rodgers will need revenge on this sport and with GB taking part in @HOME within the chilly vs MINN, he’ll get it. Cousins appeared good in that sport and MINN rushed for 126yds on 28 carries which took a whole lot of strain off of Cousins. MINN was fortunate to beat NYG final week and fortunate to return again vs INDY the week earlier than. MINN is a faker of a crew and GB will put up 40pts vs a MINN DEF that’s suspect at greatest. MINN #31 TOT DEF w/#19 RUSH DEF & #32 PASS DEF. GB can management their very own future with a bit assist but when I used to be Rodgers, I might be foaming on the mouth for this one. Cousins might be below a whole lot of strain exterior within the chilly @GB. This might be a payback sport for GB in an enormous approach. Look for GB to determine the run after which go for the kill with passes. The GB DEF can not let Cousins get comfy. Take GB & lay the factors.

THE PICK: GB-3

Sunday January 1st, 2023 8:20pm

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8), (8-7) ATS, (4-4) AWAY, (5-3) ATS @ Baltimore Ravens (10-5), (6-8-1) ATS, (5-2) HOME, (1-5-1) ATS PITT+3

LW, PITT was honoring RB Franco Harris and retiring his quantity. I had a sense earlier within the week that PITT would win this sport in dramatic style. I additionally felt that PITT ought to have rolled over LV as a result of they don’t seem to be that good. Well, PITT did intercept LV QB Derek Carr 3x and sacked him 3x however had been trailing going into the 4th qtr, 10-3. PITT was capable of cease LV RB Josh Jacobs for 44yds. Somehow, PITT made changes on the half and LV punted 3x on high of their INTS. PITT put collectively a really late td drive to win the sport 13-10. PITT must play higher. LW, BALT was a HOME FAV-7 vs ATL. I strongly felt that ATL may maintain it shut. I’m not satisfied that BALT QB Tyler Huntley can lead this crew to the promised land. I’m not all that sure about Lamar Jackson both. BALT is a crew that wins ugly. ATL had their probabilities on this sport however they don’t have the personnel to get the job completed and BALT was once more taking part in right down to their competitors. It was sloppy for ATL and BALT capitalized on a few of ATL errors and misfortunes. BALT barely received a canopy with closing rating 17-9. BALT went run heavy dashing for 184yds on 34 carries. Huntley threw solely 17x accomplished 9 passes for 115yds.

L15 BALT(H) vs PITT, BALT 8-7 SU & 6-8 ATS 1NL. L31 BALT vs PITT, BALT 14-14-2 ATS 1NL. L23 PITT vs BALT, BALT 11-10-1 ATS 1NL. L31 BALT vs PITT, DOG 19-8-2 ATS 1NL. L29 BALT vs PITT, ROAD 18-9-2 ATS. PITT 16-16 ATS AWAY on SNF. PITT 13-9 ATS as a DOG on SNF. PITT 2-0 ATS AWAY in JAN. PITT 3-0 ATS vs AFC NRTH in JAN. PITT 3-0 ATS as a DOG in JAN. PITT 8-8 ATS earlier than CLEV. PITT 20-7 ATS as a DOG vs >.500opp. PITT 11-5 ATS earlier than div HOME gm. PITT 10-1 ATS as a DOG<7pts off SU win vs >.500opp. BALT 10-7 ATS in 2nd of BB HGs. BALT 1-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in JAN. BALT 1-1 ATS as a FAV in JAN. BALT 1-1 ATS @HOME in JAN. BALT 9-9 ATS @HOME on SNF. BALT 7-9 ATS as a FAV on SNF. BALT 12-29-2ATS @HOME off non-div gm. BALT 9-13 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins. 5-1 ATS as a div FAV 6<pts.

This sport is at all times a canine struggle. Most of the time they’re 3pts contests. It’s at all times chilly and it’s uncommon if one crew blows one other crew out. Last week, PITT confirmed that they will come again. BALT barely beat a foul ATL crew. There isn’t a whole lot of confidence in Tyler Huntley as a result of BALT goes very run heavy. Huntley solely handed 17x finishing 9 whereas BALT rushed 34x. Look for a similar vs PITT. PITT is aware of that they will again into the playoffs with a win so they are going to be prepared with some payback. PITT received in dramatic style on an evening they honored RB Franco Harris. BALT beat PITT in wk 14 @PITT 16-14 and it was a good sport right down to the wire. In that sport BALT rushed for 215yds and PITT QB Mitch Trubisky threw 3INTs. I can see PITT popping out with victory or getting very shut. It has been rumored that PITT OC Matt Canada might be gone after the season. Yes the PITT OFF has appeared pathetic for a lot of the season. Both of those groups are excellent vs the run. BALT #3 RUSH DEF & PITT #6 RUSH DEF. You may even see extra passing than operating on this sport. In wk14 PITT rushed for 65 yards whereas BALT rushed for 215 yards. So you by no means know. Take the factors right here.

THE PICK: PITT+3

Monday January 2nd, 2023 8:15pm

Buffalo Bills (12-3), (6-8-1) ATS, (6-2) AWAY, (4-3-1) ATS @ Cincinnati Bengals (11-4), (12-3) ATS, (5-1) HOME, (5-1) ATS CINNCY+1

LW, CINNCY was a ROAD FAV-3 ½ @NE. They had been up 22-0 at halftime and it appeared like they had been going to blowout NE. NE had different concepts. NE HC Bill Belichick made some changes they usually held CINNCY to 0pts within the 2nd half whereas nearly making a miraculous comeback. CINNCY appeared like TB the week earlier than. In the 2nd half, CINNCY QB Joe Burrow threw a PICK6, CINNCY had a missed fg and a misplaced fumble that helped contribute to NE’s nearly comeback @HOME vs CINNCY. NE had their very own misplaced fumble and a turnover on downs that ended the sport for NE. CINNCY barely received, 22-18. I appreciated CINNCY laying the factors and I couldn’t imagine that CINNCY let NE again on this sport and didn’t rating any pts within the 2nd half. LW, BUFF was a ROAD FAV-9 ½ @CHI. CHI has been taking part in shut however not profitable. They performed MIA robust @HOME & PHILLY robust at HOME. But, this week, BUFF ran throughout CHI for 254yds & 3tds. CHI had no reply and CHI QB Justin Fields was stored largely within the pocket the place he solely rushed 7x for 11yds. CHI was truly profitable 10-6 on the half however BUFF made some changes and exploded for 4tds within the 2nd half and CHI may solely muster a fg. The closing was CHI 35-13. I actually thought that BUFF would win however it could be a bit nearer contemplating how CHI had been taking part in however, within the 2nd half, the CHI DEF was nowhere to be discovered.

L10 CINNCY vs BUFF, BUFF 6-4 SU & 6-4 ATS. BUFF 14-7-2 ATS in 2nd of BB RGs. BUFF 2-1 ATS as a FAV in JAN. BUFF 0-0 ATS AWAY in JAN. BUFF 8-5 ATS as a ROAD FAV on MNF. BUFF 4-3-1 ATS as a ROAD FAV in 2022. BUFF 14-15-1 ATS L30 as a ROAD FAV. BUFF 11-8 ATS earlier than NE. BUFF 8-5 ATS as a FAV after scoring 35>pts. CINNCY 1-0 ATS as a HOME DOG in 2022. CINNCY 13-8-3 ATS L24 as a HOME DOG. CINNCY 13-6-1 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. CINNCY 2-1 ATS as a DOG in JAN. CINNCY 1-1 ATS @HOME in JAN. CINNCY 19-5-2 ATS as a non-div HOME DOG. CINNCY 8-7-1 ATS off BB SU wins.

BUFF is searching for the #1 seed and CINNCY nonetheless has a shot on the coveted prize. CINNCY has to cease the BUFF run sport they usually need to get their very own run sport going as nicely. CINNCY has had a troublesome schedule they usually have proven up each time. The CINNCY DEF #13 TOT w/ #7 RUSH DEF has to ensure that BUFF QB Josh Allen & BUFF RBs can not run for daylight. On the opposite hand, BUFF #7 TOT DEF w/#4 RUSH DEF can not let Burrow choose them aside. CINNCY OT La’el Collins was injured and appears like he might be out. The O-LINE for CINNCY has been meshing nicely and they should shield Burrow and open up some operating lanes. This goes to be a good sport with neither crew getting a blowout. This is a sport that can come right down to the wire with a fg. This is the first assembly of Burrow vs Allen so it must be one. I give the sting to CINNCY on this one.

THE PICK: CINNCY+1

Jeff Cadillac will be discovered at www.jeffcadillac.com the place he analyzes each NFL sport each week. He will also be discovered on the Bettor Sports Network app on Friday nights at 7:30pm EST on the “Rick Kamla Show” discussing NFL video games. Jeff additionally seems as a frequent visitor on the Dr. Roto present additionally on the Bettor Sports Network. He is on Twitter @Jeffcadillac1 the place he posts his BEST BET of the WEEK each week on Fridays. He additionally co-hosts a weekly video for Sideline Sports referred to as the “J & J Sports Express” on Wednesday evenings the place they talk about NFL video games. That video will be seen LIVE & is posted on Twitter and YouTube. He will be emailed at [email protected].