Premier League predictions and finest bets: Is Chelsea’s season beginning to crumble? 7/1 finest guess treble

Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Knows gives his perception throughout the Premier League card and ideas up a 7/1 treble.

Chelsea vs Everton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!

December into January all the time exposes fragility inside a camp and Chelsea are displaying the identical cracks that appeared this time final yr, once they stumbled by way of the Christmas interval with out a win in 4 together with shedding at Ipswich.

Enzo Maresca is a course of supervisor however the caveat with these varieties is evident – his groups are finest when contemporary. As Chelsea boss his file of 15 wins from 20 matches when his groups enter a recreation after 5 days or extra between fixtures, tells that story.

Give him time and the performances pop. Take away the remaining? It all turns into onerous work.

The Club World Cup, Champions League journey and commitments, an emotional load on a younger squad is all leaving a mark. You can see it of their late-game legs within the latest defeats to Atalanta and Leeds.

Everton, on the again of 4 wins in 5, ought to arrive buoyant and assured of an upset with the 11/4 with Sky Bet on the draw no guess or the 6/5 on the double probability providing some tasty worth to chew on.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Everton double probability (6/5 with Sky Bet)

Liverpool vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!

Taking the opposition pictures strains towards Liverpool at Anfield is not often a betting concept to discover – however below Fabian Hürzeler, Brighton usually are not a traditional crew when visiting the elite and the numbers show it.

When you dig into Brighton’s information towards the Premier League’s finest in school, the image turns into very attention-grabbing for these of us who like a pictures guess when the costs are proper.

From 10 video games towards Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City below this supervisor’s watch, Brighton have averaged a really spectacular 16.1 pictures per recreation to a backdrop of a considerably wholesome 1.78 anticipated objectives per recreation. That is outrageous output. That is title-contender probability creation from a facet that are not sniffing anyplace close to a title problem.

Brighton constantly punch holes in high-pressing, high-line programs as a result of Hurzeler refuses to vary his rules. The reward? Buckets of pictures and a puncher’s probability of a outcome.

We can soar on Brighton to register 12 or extra pictures at Evens with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Burnley vs Fulham, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

A key edge to use in betting card markets revolves across the referee appointment. Prices lean closely on crew and league averages whereas some of the influential elements – the referee – stays oddly under-weighted in how odds are compiled.

Sky Bet have pitched below 3.5 playing cards at 10/11 right here – a good line primarily based on the averages – however referee id is every thing on this market and Michael Oliver radically modifications the story.

Oliver is an interesting case research this season.

Once one of many Premier League’s stricter enforcers, he has taken a notable flip towards a extra hands-off method. Whether that is a acutely aware stylistic evolution or just the pure rhythm of the matches he is overseen, the info tells us he is averaging simply 2.3 playing cards per 90 minutes within the Premier League this season.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Under 3.5 playing cards (10/11 with Sky Bet)

Arsenal vs Wolves, Saturday 8pm

Finding worth when a crew is priced at heavy odds-on is an art-form that the very best gamblers on the market can constantly nail. Arsenal are 1/10 to beat Wolves with Sky Bet – a value that tells you the market sees this as little greater than a formality.

There are methods to show short-odds juggernauts into one thing way more backable. And including a objectives angle is usually the cleanest route, as we’ve got achieved with success this season on Arsenal. Our previous buddy of Arsenal to win and below 3.5 objectives at 10/11 with Sky Bet is the road that appeals.

Arsenal do not do goal-glut soccer. Quite the other, actually. Across all competitions, their matches are averaging simply 2.67 objectives per 90 minutes, a surprisingly modest return for a crew perceived as a free-flowing pressure. Mikel Arteta’s males have seen 14 of their wins this season land the three.5 objectives too.

This is how they function. They strangle video games, not stretch them, so this one appears to be like unlikely to get out of hand for Wolves.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Arsenal to win and below 3.5 objectives (10/11 with Sky Bet)

Crystal Palace vs Manchester City, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

Crystal Palace have managed to attain seven objectives within the final 4 conferences with Manchester City, so the each groups to attain angle is lighting up like a Christmas tree – however the market is absolutely aligned at a really skinny 4/9 with Sky Bet.

However, there’s a smarter option to assault this angle.

The sharper play concerning objectives is to again the gamers who rating them higher than anybody else within the Premier League in Erling Haaland and Jean-Philippe Mateta, who as a pair may be backed at 100/30 to each discover the online by way of the BuildABet operate with Sky Bet.

Haaland seems like a cheat code most weeks, nevertheless it’s the opposite title on the ticket that unlocks the value. Mateta has quietly reworked from cult determine to authentic Premier League hotshot, and the numbers again it up. In 2025 the 2 most prolific strikers within the Premier League are Haaland (23 objectives) and Mateta (17).

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports

Nottingham Forest are nonetheless having points defending set-pieces.

Eleven objectives conceded from such conditions – the joint-most within the Premier League – paints a reasonably ugly image, however the deeper numbers are much more damning. Forest are permitting a purpose from a set-piece as soon as each six pictures they face from these eventualities.

And if you happen to’re trying to discover worth in Tottenham matches, set-piece angles stay a fruitful option to do it. Thomas Frank takes this a part of the sport very severely – the grasp of the marginal achieve and with seven Premier League objectives from corners this season, it places Spurs second that specific metric behind Arsenal with eight.

Cristian Romero scores objectives like he defends – with dedication, aggression and a touch of melodrama. Spurs have more and more tailor-made their deliveries to focus on him as the primary contact and he bagged twice within the 2-2 draw with Newcastle. At 15/2 with Sky Bet he is price a swing within the anytime goalscorer market.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Sunderland vs Newcastle, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

Sunderland are ninth within the Premier League desk and have obtained large plaudits for his or her recruitment and performances. Rightly so.

But the underlying numbers? They’re waving a giant purple flag. According to Opta’s anticipated factors mannequin, Sunderland must be nineteenth – behind Wolves.

If you repeatedly win tight matches whereas flirting with shedding the underlying battle after which lose matches by a giant quantity on the metrics, it often means an overperformance is going on. It is right here.

Strip away the emotion, the vibes, the narrative fluff, the Granit Xhaka love-in and the Black Cats’ performances put them second-bottom within the metrics that often matter most with regards to assessing total efficiency stage.

And when a crew’s outcomes and numbers stretch this far aside, that elastic tends to snap in some unspecified time in the future. It may do right here, the place Newcastle look the decision at 5/4 with Sky Bet for the away win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2

West Ham vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports

Nuno Espirito Santo and Unai Emery have crossed paths 9 instances as managers throughout the Premier League and LaLiga. And on eight of these 9 events, each groups have scored. Different squads, completely different international locations, completely different contexts however the identical consequence of objectives.

Emery’s obsession with vertical runners and courageous build-up, up towards Nuno’s knack for absorbing stress however all the time providing a risk on the break typically produces a recreation the place each groups have sufficient area to land a punch.

Under Nuno, the Hammers are nonetheless working by way of some rising pains, too. The spirit has improved, the construction is taking form, however the steadiness is not fairly there. Six of West Ham’s final seven video games have seen each groups rating. It ought to land once more with the draw additionally trying a giant runner.

Combining each these angles yields a 3/1 shot to assault with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Brentford vs Leeds, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

In the world of participant fouls markets, edges do not final lengthy. A tactical shift right here, a task tweak there and all of the sudden a participant who often attracts one low cost free-kick a recreation is being clattered at a a lot increased price. The trick is catching the second earlier than the market does.

And that is why Dominic Calvert-Lewin to be fouled a minimum of twice at 5/4 with Sky Bet is a guess to think about.

The latest change in Leeds’ method to a much more direct fashion of their final three matches, funnelled straight into Calvert-Lewin, has fully altered the foul dynamic round him. He’s the goal for lengthy diagonals, flick-ons and contested duels and he is drawn six fouls drawn in his final two-and-a-half appearances for Leeds.

Brentford, in the meantime, aren’t shy about contact and their centre-backs defend aggressively which means this value on Calvert-Lewin is a worth name.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Manchester United vs Bournemouth, Monday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports

There are sure annual traditions you possibly can set your watch by as Christmas comes into view. Mariah Carey defrosting after 11 months of inactivity and Andoni Iraola groups changing into very troublesome to beat.

Under Iraola, Bournemouth have performed 14 Premier League video games in December, shedding simply two, whereas successful seven and drawing 5.

His high-intensity, high-repetition fashion tends to hit peak sharpness as different groups start to creak below the festive fixture pile-up. Bournemouth’s broader type helps the case for them too.

They’re unbeaten in 4 conferences with Manchester United and stylistically they’re one of many worst kinds of groups for Ruben Amorim’s facet to face in that they’re filled with power, are tactically drilled and relentless in transition.

United are nonetheless swinging between being practical and lucky nonetheless. But one factor that’s constant is how unreliable they’re. Bournemouth draw no guess at 2/1 with Sky Bet it’s.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Jones Knows’ finest guess…

1pt treble on: Everton double probability, Arsenal to win & below 3.5 objectives & below 3.5 playing cards in Fulham vs Burnley (7/1 with Sky Bet)