Premier League predictions: Jones Knows is backing Southampton to beat Aston Villa on Friday Night Football

Southampton’s enhancing defensive axis can make them win a with out conceding at Aston Villa on Friday Night Football, predicts tipster Jones Knows, who previews all seven Premier League fixtures throughout the weekend.

Aston Villa vs Southampton, Friday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports

Armel Bella-Kotchap and Mohamed Salisu are a defensive duo to take very critically. It’s an thrilling prospect for Southampton as Ralph Hasenhuttl, a really attack-minded supervisor, has by no means really had a high quality base to work from.

In 4 video games since taking part in as a centre-back pair, Saints have conceded an anticipated targets determine of simply 3.59 and that features taking part in Chelsea and Manchester United. Only Arsenal and Tottenham have recorded a greater defensive determine in that interval. The markets nonetheless are pricing up Southampton on their long-term defensive knowledge below Hasenhuttl which ranks them as one of many worst defences within the Premier League.

A run of no clear sheets of their final 12 Premier League video games is unquestionably going to finish shortly on the premise of their newfound defensive solidity, doubtlessly at Villa Park in opposition to a really tame Aston Villa assault. Only Bournemouth have had fewer pictures and created a decrease anticipated targets determine per recreation than Steven Gerrard’s crew this season.

This defensive enchancment at Saints is altering my regular betting assault in the case of Southampton video games. Both groups to attain and over 2.5 targets has been a worthwhile angle over the previous yr however with this Bella-Kotchap and Salisu axis having an enormous impact on their defensive output, it is time to oppose targets.

A Southampton win to nil does it for me at 11/2 with Sky Bet. It’s price throwing into the combination Bella-Kotchap having a shot within the match too at Evens with Sky Bet. The imposing centre-back has fired seven efforts at aim in his 5 video games and might trigger a risk in opposition to a Villa aspect which are trying shaky at defending set items this season.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Southampton to win to nil & Armel Bella-Kotchap to have a number of pictures (12/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham, Friday 8pm

Don’t overthink it: however what are the 2 most essential positions on the soccer discipline?

If you first thought was, goalkeeper and striker, properly completed.

It is smart would not it? Those gamers are those which are closest to the aim so due to this fact can have extra of an affect on the results of a match. Absolute ground-breaking stuff, I do know.

The level I’m attempting to make is that Fulham have gotten these positions completely sussed.

In aim they’ve Bernd Leno. The summer time signing from Arsenal has been wonderful this season and stored Spurs at bay nearly single-handedly at instances of their final fixture. He has now made 19 saves since changing into first alternative, conceding seven instances in his 4 appearances to this point, however Opta’s anticipated targets mannequin says he ought to have conceded 9, primarily based on the standard of pictures he has confronted.

Then you might have Aleksandar Mitrovic, who’s firing on all cylinders wherever he is wanted on the pitch, be that within the opposition field or defending his personal. If you gave me him or Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang to guide my line, I’m selecting the Serb.

His six targets this Premier League season means he is now scored 27 targets in final 29 appearances for the Cottagers. The 5/2 on him scoring in a Fulham with Sky Bet does make slight attraction.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Wolves vs Manchester City, Saturday 12.30pm

Backing Wolves with a +2 handicap in opposition to the massive groups is like moving into mattress on a chilly winter’s night time. I really feel comforted and comfy. My confidence of it touchdown at 10/11 with Sky Bet was solely heightened watching Manchester City on Wednesday in opposition to Borussia Dortmund. As Pep Guardiola stated, they lacked depth and aggression till the final quarter-hour. They can flip the faucets on at any level in opposition to any crew however Wolves are a really tough crew to create massive probabilities in opposition to.

Bruno Lage’s aspect have a fantastic total report in opposition to groups that completed within the prime 9 final season. If you collate all of these 10 most up-to-date outcomes, Wolves solely misplaced the mixture rating 11-8 and have been solely overwhelmed by multiple aim within the 3-1 defeat to Liverpool on the ultimate day of the Premier League season.

Wolves with a +2 aim begin at 10/11 with Sky Bet (a wager that landed for us of their away defeat at Spurs) that means the wager lands if Wolves win, draw or lose by one aim, appears a smart play for those who like a shorter worth.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Newcastle vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Eddie Howe spent 19 years in whole as a participant and supervisor with Bournemouth, main the membership to a few promotions because the boss, and this would be the first time he has confronted the membership as a supervisor. How that may translate to the end result or discovering a betting angle is a troublesome factor to navigate however I’m fairly certain he shall be displaying his former employers little mercy.

Newcastle are fairly reliable at residence in the case of swatting away lower-ranked groups. Since February, they’ve delivered the products at residence to Aston Villa, Everton, Brighton, Wolves, Leicester, Arsenal and Nottingham Forest, shedding simply considered one of their final 13 Premier League matches at St James’s Park and that was to Liverpool. A house win at 4/9 with Sky Bet ought to be good for these seeking to construct some short-priced angles this weekend.

Those that like an even bigger worth ought to take into account Adam Smith selecting up his fifth reserving of the season already at 5/2 with Sky Bet, particularly if Allan Saint-Maximin returns from damage. The flying French winger has been accountable for 32 yellow playing cards from the opposition because the begin of the 19/20 season – rating him because the eighth greatest card magnet within the Premier League. And 65.6 per cent of these yellows have come when taking part in at St James’s Park.

Smith is only one recreation away from suspension after selecting up 4 bookings in his first six video games and it is perhaps price him getting that fifth one in eventually so he can play with out the shackles of being one card away from a ban.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0

Tottenham vs Leicester, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

This a recreation bursting with betting alternatives as a free-flowing, open encounter that ought to play out with many of the motion coming in direction of Danny Ward’s aim.

For a supervisor whose crew had simply misplaced 5-2, Brendan Rodgers was surprisingly mellow once I attended his post-match press convention after the Brighton defeat.

Saturday seventeenth September 5:00pm


Kick off 5:30pm

He has a contract with Leicester till June 2025 and is due a reported mammoth pay-off if sacked. So, Leicester have a supervisor they can’t actually afford to sack and a supervisor that’s not going to stroll away. It’s a pickle.

Rodgers spoke of low confidence ranges inside his squad being the primary supply of points. Of course, that may be a issue however how in regards to the construction of the defence? Only Leeds and Southampton have conceded extra Premier League targets (75) because the begin of final season than Leicester, whose anticipated targets in opposition to knowledge of 81.47 suggests they’ve been fortunate to concede simply 75. They may have conceded that many within the second half at Brighton.

It’s the second half to provide probably the most targets market that has triggered my curiosity right here at Evens with Sky Bet. These sorts of markets that aren’t actually priced up on any form of knowledge or opinion are ones that do possess sustainable edges to discover. It’s the identical costs supplied most weeks on each Premier League. Well, second half to provide probably the most targets ought to be a sizzling favorite right here.

Since Antonio Conte took cost of Spurs, solely Manchester City and Liverpool have scored extra targets within the second half of matches than Spurs’ tally of 40. During that very same interval, solely Leeds have shipped extra second-half targets than Leicester’s 31.

Spurs are infamous gradual starters, too, with the second half producing extra targets than the primary in all three of their final three fixtures in all competitions. Meanwhile, Leciester have conceded two or extra targets in 5 of their six second halves this season within the Premier League. I’m anticipating a cagey starting earlier than Spurs put their foot down after the break when the Leicester defence is more likely to wilt – because it at all times does.

SCORE PREDICTION: 4-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Most targets within the second half (Evens with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Brentford vs Arsenal, Sunday 12pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

The match costs look about proper to me in what ought to be a aggressive encounter that the away aspect ought to edge. Arsenal are favourites at 4/5 with Sky Bet which is able to tempt many in nevertheless it could possibly be time for the Gunners to finish their bizarre run and not using a draw. It’s been 24 Premier League video games since considered one of their video games ended all sq. – the present longest run by any Premier League crew. That development shall be damaged quickly, possibly right here at when the worth is sort of 3/1 with Sky Bet.

For a stronger fancy, I’ve gone trying within the participant pictures marketplace for a possible play.

Brentford’s need to defend deep with out the ball does depart them uncovered to dealing with pictures on their aim from outdoors the field. They have conceded 38 pictures on their aim from vary this season – six greater than every other aspect with 12 of these efforts hitting the goal. This brings Gabriel Martinelli into the equation of getting a shot on track from outdoors the field at 100/30 with Sky Bet.

Playing off the left and chopping in onto his proper foot does open up the area for potential pictures from vary as seen from his eight efforts from such conditions this season – no Arsenal participant has had extra. Only two of these have hit the goal however on the costs supplied it ought to actually be a wager that gives you run on your cash.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Everton vs West Ham, Sunday 2.15pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Yes, Everton have but to win this season however Frank Lampard deserves extra reward than he is receiving. I’m certain that’s going to come back and he shall be flavour of the month quickly as this Everton aspect now look a aspect able to shifting up the desk and inflicting issues for opposition groups – even ones as well-drilled and proficient as West Ham.

According to my eyes and the important thing efficiency knowledge, this match ought to be a better encounter than the markets say.

Lampard has constructed a robust backbone on the coronary heart of the defence and a midfield that performs with aggression, tenacity and a sprinkling of capacity. They ended the sport vs Liverpool with Alex Iwobi, Idrissa Gueye and Amadou Onana in there – that is an thrilling mix. I’m additionally not satisfied nonetheless about West Ham having the required legs in midfield to constantly make their mark in video games.

Sunday 18th September 2:05pm


Kick off 2:15pm

Lampard’s aspect are posting encouraging attacking metrics.

Only Liverpool, Manchester City, Arsenal and Tottenham have posted extra pictures on aim within the final 5 Premier League matchdays than Everton, who racked up a really wholesome anticipated targets tally of 1.72 in opposition to Liverpool. They have in reality registered an anticipated targets determine larger than 1.00 of their final 5 fixtures. A repeat of these probability creation metrics ought to see them get on the scoresheet in opposition to West Ham, who’ve misplaced 10 of their final 17 Premier League video games which makes their tags because the 7/5 favourites with Sky Bet look reasonably skinny.

Additionally, for an unexplained purpose at this stage, it is seemingly tougher to win away from residence within the Premier League this season. Yes, the pattern measurement is small however away groups have gained simply 20 per cent of their video games which is an enormous drop to the typical away win proportion of round 35 per cent over the past 5 seasons.

This offers me confidence to play Everton grabbing their first win of the season at 2/1 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Everton to win (2/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)