UFC Seattle Cage Locks: Joe Pyfer going for upset of Israel Adesanya 

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Joe Pyfer has the largest alternative of his preventing profession this weekend when he faces one of the vital in style UFC stars of previous decade.

The rising American knockout artist headlines a UFC Fight Night occasion in Seattle on Saturday night time in opposition to former two-time middleweight champion Israel Adesanya. 

Pyfer is 6-1 within the UFC, with all however a kind of wins coming through stoppage, whereas Adesanya is trying to snap the primary three-fight dropping streak of his profession.

The 13-bout card from Climate Pledge Arena has a co-main occasion that includes one other former champion trying to get again within the win column. One-time girls’s flyweight champ Alexa Grasso goals to snap a three-fight winless streak as she faces streaking contender Maycee Barber, who’s searching for an eighth consecutive victory.

A pair of Canadians, Kyle Nelson and Lance Gibson Jr., are additionally set for motion in opposition to Terrance McKinney and Chase Hooper, respectively.

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Below is the projected bout order for UFC Seattle (topic to vary) plus full predictions for the cardboard:

— Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer

— Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber

— Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price

— Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas

— Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Yousri Belgaroui

— Terrance McKinney vs. Kyle Nelson

— Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev

— Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr.

— Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune

— Casey O’Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes

— Navajo Stirling vs. Bruno Lopes

— Ricky Simon vs. Adrian Yanez

— Alexia Thainara vs. Bruna Brasil

Ahead of every UFC occasion in 2026, UFC reporter Aaron Bronsteter (@aaronbronsteter), producer Dan Fernandes (@DanFernandes__) and author/editor Mike Johnston (@MikeyJ_MMA) will peruse the percentages and make 4 betting predictions utilizing fantasy {dollars}: one finest wager, one favorite, one underdog and one dart throw wager. REMINDER: Sportsnet is dedicated to selling and educating audiences concerning the significance of betting responsibly. Sources for accountable playing will be discovered HERE.

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    Former middleweight champion Israel Adesanya and knockout artist Joe Pyfer meet in Seattle. Watch UFC Fight Night motion on Saturday, March 28 on Sportsnet 360 and Sportsnet+ with protection starting at 6 p.m. ET / 3 p.m. PT.

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Cage Lock: Grasso vs. Barber goes over 2.5 rounds -450

Favourite: Ignacio Bahamondes -275

Underdog: Marcin Tybura +110

Dart Throw: Michael Chiesa wins by KO/TKO +800

Grasso and Barber is a really aggressive struggle that I count on will likely be intently contested and can hit the scorecards. … Bahamondes and his measurement are going to trigger complications for Musayev and I believe that he’s a sizeable favorite for a motive. … Fortune has had a combined bag of outcomes and it appears at any time when he faces a UFC calibre opponent that he falls quick. I believe that if Tybura retains it on the toes that he’s the higher fighter and also will be dwell for submissions when Fortune opts to grapple. … Niko Price is coming off of a nasty knockout loss simply six weeks in the past and whereas Chiesa is extra of a grappling-based fighter. I believe that Price and his chin will likely be compromised earlier than the struggle even begins.

Cage Lock: Alexia Thainara -700

Favourite: Ignacio Bahamondes -275

Underdog: Alexa Grasso +150

Dart Throw: Erosa vs Douglas ends in submission +475

With all due respect to her opponent, Thainara appears like she goes to be a star within the UFC for years to return and Saturday ought to be one other routine outing. … I count on Bahamondes to bounce again emphatically from his defeat to Fiziev. Musayev misplaced in his UFC debut to Orolbai and faces one other relentlessly robust opponent. Some robust matchmaking breaks for Musayev, however he possible drops to 0-2. … Grasso at plus cash is at all times value a wager. She is just not that far faraway from being a UFC champion and has misplaced to some elite opposition since then. Grasso will likely be laser-focused on getting again within the win column and will very properly grind out a call in opposition to Barber, who has had simply two fights since 2024. … Erosa and Douglas each have a smattering of submission victories all through their careers with only a few of their fights going the space. While Douglas’s KO energy most likely wins him the bout on the day, I gained’t fully rule out a submission win for both fighter right here. Just a hunch based mostly on this specific conflict of types (southpaw vs. orthodox stances).

Cage Lock: Navajo Stirling -588

Favourite: Mansur Abdul-Malik -120 

Underdog: Julian Erosa +260

Dart Throw: Abdul-Malik by submission +650

I’m an enormous believer in Stirling and he’s obtained an enormous alternative on the prelims on a card headlined by his teammate. Stirling helped Adesanya put together for Seattle and meaning Stirling ought to be sharp as will be. Lopes may look to take issues to the bottom however I belief Stirling to manage the tempo and even discover his first KO within the UFC. … As lengthy as Erosa’s chin holds up in opposition to the debuting and harmful Lerryan Douglas, I see him being significantly undervalued at this value contemplating his energy of schedule and ending skill. … Abdul-Malik has a troublesome activity in entrance of him in six-foot-six kickboxer Yousri Belgaroui, however I see Abdul-Malik’s bodily energy and wrestling benefit being an enormous issue on this intriguing middleweight matchup, a lot in order that I’ll additionally take a shot that he locks up a sub.

Three legs: Grasso vs. Barber over 2.5 rounds + Thainara + Stirling

Parlay odds: -158 (to win: $63.45)

2026 STANDINGS AFTER 8 EVENTS

2026 winnings: -$236.12 (on $100 bets)

AARON’S RECORDS/TOTALS (15-17, +1.36 models)

Cage Lock: 4-4 (-$306.61)

Favourite: 6-2 (+$113.24)

DAN’S RECORDS/TOTALS (15-17, -4.16 models)

Favourite: 5-3 (-$66.61)

MIKE’S RECORDS/TOTALS (14-18, -8.63 models)

Cage Lock: 7-1 (+$68.12)

Favourite: 4-4 (-$161.80)

Cage Lock: The choose deemed to be the wager more than likely to win no matter what the percentages appear to be. The Cage Locks parlay will mix Aaron’s, Dan’s and Mike’s respective finest wager for every occasion.

Favourite: A fighter with successful odds shorter than -300 however not longer than -110. On chalkier playing cards with a dearth of accessible moneyline favourites that meet these standards, prop bets are allowed to be chosen.

Underdog: Any fighter with longer odds than their opponent’s.

Dart Throw: Any prop wager or moneyline wager with odds of +400 or longer.

(Betting odds above through varied sportsbooks, submitted at varied instances all through week, and topic to vary previous to the fights)





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