D’Andre Swift set for explosive day by day fantasy Week 3

Week 2 was full of an explosive set of video games, and Week 3 shapes up properly with loads of top-tier expertise out there on the primary slate day by day fantasy contests. With so many choices to select from, we’ll get you up to the mark with all the perfect performs and the explanations behind them.

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes $7,900 @ Indianapolis Colts (48.0 over/beneath)

The Chiefs journey into Indianapolis for a matchup that on paper does not look good for the house group. Mahomes is the third highest-priced quarterback on the slate, but when the Chiefs really feel like getting frisky, it is unlikely that the Colts protection (which ranks twenty ninth in go protection DVOA) will be capable of cease Mahomes (who leads the league in DYAR). The Colts have seemed lower than spectacular towards the Texans and the Jaguars, and the one factor that may cease Mahomes from racking up factors could be if the sport will get uncontrolled early.

Usage Suggestions: Mahomes is a good play in money this week. In tournaments, look to stack the Chiefs closely with both Michael Pittman (if wholesome) or Nyheim Hines as a bring-back.

Jalen Hurts $7,600 @ Washington Commanders (47.0 over/beneath)

The Eagles surrounded Jalen Hurts with weapons in a prove-it state of affairs. After two video games—which admittedly is a small pattern dimension—Hurts appears to have confirmed it. In 2021 Hurts accomplished 61.6% of his passes; by means of two video games that quantity has jumped to 69.8% with Hurts visibly extra snug within the pocket and progressing by means of his reads. The Commanders have been pleasantly entertaining to date this season, however their protection nonetheless has loads of room to enhance, rating twenty eighth in DVOA and (maybe much more regarding on the subject of Hurts) thirty first in rush protection DVOA.

Usage Suggestions: Hurts is an effective play for both money video games or tournaments. In tournaments, the Commanders play higher towards WR1s than WR2s, so DeVonta Smith ($5,200) could be the person to stack Hurts with for the second week operating.

Derek Carr $5,900 @ Tennessee Titans (46.0 over/beneath)

In Week 2, Carr was one of many highest rostered quarterbacks, chosen on 20% to 25% of event rosters, and appeared to be a consensus good play towards the Cardinals. Unfortunately for DFS gamers, Lamar Jackson and Tua Tagovailoa went nuclear and made it very laborious for managers who rostered Carr to return again from the deficit. The Raiders journey to Tennessee for a recreation that the Titans merely should win, however bookmakers have the Raiders favorites by one level. Through two video games, the Titans have been extremely poor, and whereas it is OK to lose to the Bills, the style by which they have been put to mattress whereas the solar was nonetheless shining was fairly alarming. Under Josh McDaniels the Raiders have performed pretty rapidly, rating tenth in situation-neutral go charge, which is nice information for passing assaults. Carr has thrown for 2 touchdowns in each of his video games this 12 months, and I’ve a sense he may transcend that this week in a recreation that might be ignored.

Usage Suggestions: Carr lacks the speeding ground to compete with the dual-threats on this slate, and as such, I would not be taking part in him in money video games, however in tournaments, this recreation has plenty of potential. Stacks with Davante Adams, Darren Waller or each look nice.

Trevor Lawrence $5,400 @ Los Angeles Chargers (48.0 over/beneath)

It wasn’t that way back that folks could not cease speaking about Trevor Lawrence being the second coming of Andrew Luck. Then Urban Meyer halted the hype practice, and ever for the reason that momentum hasn’t picked again up. But if you happen to pay attention intently the wheels are beginning to flip in Jacksonville, and this recreation might present Lawrence and the Jaguars with a chance to make an actual assertion. The Chargers go protection is a troublesome unit, rating eighth in DVOA, however when an offensive participant is on type I desire to facet with him, notably in a excessive over/beneath recreation. Lawrence ranks sixth in DYAR, one spot behind Justin Herbert. The Chargers play on the sixth-highest impartial go charge and may be capable of drive the Jaguars right into a pass-heavy recreation plan.

Usage Suggestions: Lawrence is as low cost as I’d go at quarterback in tournaments this week and offers you entry to a recreation individuals will wish to assault. Stacking Lawrence with Christian Kirk ($6,200) and operating it again with Gerald Everett or Josh Palmer will open up loads of wage to assault higher-priced gamers elsewhere.

Running Backs

D’Andre Swift $7,200 @ Minnesota Vikings (54.0 over/beneath)

The Lions rank second in offensive speeding DVOA and face the Vikings, which rank lifeless final in run protection DVOA. That’s about as sturdy a sign as you will get that it is a great place for Swift in Week 3. Despite Jamaal Williams main the league in purple zone carries (9), Swift is the PPR RB3 by means of two weeks and has proven an amazing quantity of effectivity, scoring 16.7 factors on simply seven touches in Week 2. No matter which method you take a look at it, this appears like an amazing spot for Swift.

Usage Suggestions: With this recreation having a excessive over/beneath, it is unlikely Swift is a participant individuals overlook. Find artistic methods to correlate Swift in tournaments. Pairing Swift and Justin Jefferson ($9,300) is a pricy mixture, however due to this, it could be unusual. If you can also make that pairing work with an inexpensive recreation stack, reminiscent of Jaguars/Chargers, then it might need all of the elements to get explosive.

Leonard Fournette $6,500 vs Green Bay Packers (41.0 over/beneath)

This recreation feels rather less spectacular than it might need seemed on paper at first of the 12 months, and it could be a great factor that the scheduling people stored it off prime time. Fournette is coming off a disappointing 9.4-point efficiency, however Week 2 wasn’t a great week for anybody concerned within the Buccaneers’ go to to New Orleans. Tampa Bay will play its dwelling opener with out Mike Evans (suspension) and Chris Godwin (hamstring), whereas Julio Jones’ standing stays up within the air. Fournette has held off rookie Rachaad White to date, out-touching him 51 to 10 over the opening two video games, and the Buccaneers might want to depend on Fournette towards the Packers, which simply allowed David Montgomery to run throughout them to the tune of 122 yards on simply 15 makes an attempt.

Usage Suggestions: Fournette’s pricing falls into a variety the place many individuals will shrink back from him, opting to pay up or down as an alternative. This could make for an attention-grabbing event play.

David Montgomery $5,900 @ Houston Texans (41.0 over/beneath)

For longtime followers, it’d come as a little bit of a shock to see a recognized David Montgomery “hater” reminiscent of myself writing him up, and whereas I actually consider the Bears view Khalil Herbert as a giant a part of their plans for this season, within the right here and now, Montgomery is ticking containers. Through two video games, Montgomery has averaged a 72.5% alternative share, leaving a little bit over 1 / 4 of the work for Herbert. While Herbert has been extra environment friendly on his carries, averaging 7.3 yards per carry to Montgomery’s 4.8, the Bears clearly aren’t in a rush to maneuver away from Montgomery, giving him 15 makes an attempt in Week 1 and 17 in Week 2. The Bears are passing the ball at a traditionally low charge with 14 go makes an attempt per recreation to open the season, and even when they give the impression of being to go extra towards the Texans, it is seemingly Montgomery stays a giant a part of the sport plan.

Usage Suggestions: Montgomery’s ceiling is a little bit under what I’d hope for in tournaments, but when it helps you create an ideal lineup elsewhere, I’m not towards it. I might lean towards money video games as a pairing with a higher-priced, higher-floor operating again.

Rashaad Penny $4,900 vs Atlanta Falcons (42.0 over/beneath)

Week 2 was a foul week for Seattle operating backs, notably those that have been requested to go the ball, however it seems like DraftKings priced Rashaad Penny down too far for this week because the Seahawks welcome the Falcons to Seattle. The Seahawks trailed for 55 of the 60 recreation minutes towards the 49ers, and whereas which may be one thing they need to get used to this season, the Falcons won’t supply the hardest take a look at they may face, notably towards the run, the place they rank twenty eighth in speeding DVOA. Kenneth Walker made his debut in Week 2, however he was firmly behind Penny within the pecking order. At this price, we will stay with Penny being in a timeshare.

Usage Suggestions: Because of the timeshare component, Penny is a tournament-only play. Correlating Penny with both Drake London or Kyle Pitts ought to offer you entry to the upside of this recreation, however it’s not important as a result of low over/beneath and might be rolled out as a person play.

Wide Receivers

Justin Jefferson $9,300 vs Detroit Lions (54.0 over/beneath)

On “Monday Night Football,” the Vikings didn’t stay as much as expectations towards the Eagles, and Justin Jefferson was as disappointing as any Vikings participant from a fantasy perspective. When focused, Jefferson had a QBR of twenty-two.9, an enormous drop-off from Week 1’s good passer ranking (158.3). The Lions symbolize an amazing bounce-back opponent, nevertheless, rating bottom-10 in general go protection DVOA and towards WR1s. Jefferson’s value is dear, and with loads of expertise on the slate, we may even see individuals gravitate elsewhere. The Lions lead the NFL in situation-neutral go performs, which may also help to push the Vikings right into a shootout.

Usage Suggestions: Jefferson is money game- and tournament-viable, so long as you can also make the lineups work with out ending up too skinny elsewhere.

Mike Williams $6,700 vs Jacksonville Jaguars (48.0 over/beneath)

DraftKings has elevated Mike Williams’ value by $100 since he put up 28.3 factors towards the Chiefs on Thursday of Week 2. Perhaps there is a component of concern round Justin Herbert’s well being right here, however regardless, Williams has proven us he generally is a true WR1. If Justin Herbert fits up, your lineups must be contemplating Williams.

Usage Suggestions: Because of the questions surrounding Herbert’s well being, it is a tournament-only play. If you solely make one lineup it could be a troublesome capsule to swallow, however the best-made event lineups occur once we get snug being uncomfortable.

Tee Higgins $6,100 @ New York Jets (45.0 over/beneath)

On Sunday, Higgins returned from a concussion to place up 10-6-71 with a landing towards the Cowboys, serving to him safe 19.1 factors. Next up for the Bengals is a go to to New York City to tackle the feel-good Jets. The Bengals might do with some feel-good vibes of their very own, and regardless of their points holding Joe Burrow upright, this has the makings of a bounce-back. The Jets rank dead-last in go protection DVOA and, importantly for Higgins, rank thirty first towards WR2s. Higgins won’t have had fairly as high-ceiling outcomes as Ja’Maar Chase during the last 12 months, however they’ve each had the identical quantity of top-five weeks (three), and Higgins’ low cost is all the time price contemplating.

Usage Suggestions: Stacking Higgins with Burrow and Garrett Wilson will supply loads of ceiling in a recreation that may simply sneak the over.

Chris Olave $4,500 @ Carolina Panthers (40.0 over/beneath)

The issues are piling up for Matt Rhule, and a go to from the division-rival Saints will not assist issues. The breakout recreation hasn’t occurred but for Chris Olave, with level totals of 9.1 and 12.0 throughout the opening two video games, however there are many causes to be optimistic that it is coming. Olave has run a route on 84% of dropbacks, incomes a 19.9% goal share and an unbelievable 372 air yards in simply two video games. While air yards do not pay the payments, it is price noting that solely 43% of Olave’s Week 2 targets have been catchable, and it is a good indication that the group trusts him on deep targets going ahead. When the breakout occurs, it might be really slate-breaking.

Usage Suggestions: Tournament solely.

JuJu Smith-Schuster $5,500 & Marquez Valdes-Scantling $4,700 @ Indianapolis Colts (48.0 over/beneath)

Colts defensive coordinator Gus Bradley is greater than accustomed to Patrick Mahomes from his time attempting to outwit him when Bradley labored for each the Chargers and Raiders, division rivals to the Chiefs. According to Warren Sharp, Mahomes has confronted a Bradley-led protection on seven events and thrown 17 touchdowns to 2 interceptions. Particularly noteworthy for Marquez Valdes-Scantling is that Bradley hardly ever strikes away from his most well-liked cowl scheme of Cover-3, and whereas some defensive coordinators decide to remove the deep ball by sitting two safeties deep, Bradley has prevented that previously. Meanwhile, Smith-Schuster will goal to create harm within the slot, an space the place the Colts struggled to take care of Jaguars slot receiver Christian Kirk, who racked up 78 yards and two touchdowns.

Usage Suggestions: Double-stacking Patrick Mahomes in tournaments feels like all types of enjoyable, notably if individuals shrink back from JuJu and MVS, who each disillusioned in Week 2.

Quick Hits

Rashod Bateman $5,700 @ New England Patriots (44.0 over/beneath)
The Ravens are scheming Bateman nicely and relying on him no matter protection. The Ravens operating recreation simply is not adequate for them to not lean on the passing assault, and DraftKings continues to cost Bateman lowly.

Curtis Samuel $5,100 vs Philadelphia Eagles (47.0 over/beneath)
Only 4 receivers have seen extra targets than Samuel’s 15. Carson Wentz has a security outlet, and he isn’t afraid to make use of it. Samuel additionally ranks third amongst receivers with six speeding makes an attempt.

Greg Dortch $4,300 vs Los Angeles Rams (49.0 over/beneath)
Dortch has been a dependable choice on quick passes that the group envisioned Rondale Moore being on the sphere for. The Rams received to Kyler Murray incessantly within the playoffs, and Murray will want a fast launch choice.

Tight Ends

Kyle Pitts $4,800 @ Seattle Seahawks (42.0 over/beneath)

It’s been bleak in these Kyle Pitts streets, that is for positive. Through two weeks, Pitts has posted an identical stat traces of two catches per recreation for 19 yards in each. Better occasions are forward although, and the Falcons get the perfect opponent within the Seattle Seahawks, which simply allowed Ross Dwelley to attain a 38-yard landing in Week 2, every week after permitting Broncos tight ends to mix for seven catches and 85 yards in Week 1. The Seahawks rank twenty sixth in DVOA towards tight ends, and Arthur Smith appeared visibly irritated when reporters requested concerning the lack of Pitts’ involvement to date this season. The squeaky wheel will get the oil generally, and at $4,800 Pitts is certainly in play

Usage Suggestions: It’s laborious to compete with the ground/ceiling mixtures that Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews convey to this slate for money video games, however Pitts is a good play for tournaments this week. Particularly daring lineups may care to stack Pitts with Marcus Mariota ($5,500) for simply over 20% of your allotted wage.

Tyler Higbee $4,500 @ Arizona Cardinals (49.0 over/beneath)

Through two video games, Higbee leads the NFL in tight finish targets with 20 and is fifth on the place in receiving yards (110). In Week 3, Higbee will resist the Cardinals, which have to date allowed Travis Kelce and Darren Waller to mix for 43.1 PPR factors throughout the opening two weeks, unsurprisingly leading to Arizona rating dead-last in DVOA towards tight ends.

Usage Suggestions: Stack Higbee with Matthew Stafford to maximise Higbee’s potential output.

Juwan Johnson $2,900 @ Carolina Panthers (40.0 over/beneath)

Johnson has seen the Thirteenth-most targets at tight finish over the opening two video games and has clearly moved forward of Adam Trautman within the Saints’ pecking order. The Panthers rank twenty ninth in DVOA towards tight ends, and at this value a landing would repay the choice to bypass the higher-priced choices. Johnson has seen two of the Saints’ 9 targets within the purple zone, second solely to Michael Thomas (three).

Usage Suggestions: Johnson is money game-viable if the remainder of your group is unlocked with a budget financial savings on supply right here.

Stack of the Week

Last week’s Stack of the Week was let down by Kyle Pitts, who contributed 3.9 factors to a 56.1 whole the place Marcus Mariota and Cooper Kupp did practically the entire laborious work. This week we’re going with Derek Carr ($5,900) and Davante Adams ($8,400). When the chalk fails, generally those that return to it every week later are rewarded, and I’m anticipating that to occur right here. I might even be wonderful including Darren Waller ($5,800) on prime of this and contemplating Treylon Burks ($4,900) as a bring-back choice.

Fade of the Week

Staying in Tennessee, Derrick Henry will not be making his method into any of my lineups. Henry is final within the league with 46 speeding yards under expectation and has seen only one goal this 12 months. He not has the excessive ceiling or ground he as soon as did, and till I see in any other case, it is a laborious fade.