Premier League Predictions & greatest bets: Wolves to wobble Liverpool as Jones Knows ideas 9/1 greatest guess

Wolves to get a end result towards Liverpool? Our soccer betting professional Jones Knows is again to supply his perception on each Premier League recreation.

Newcastle vs Man City, Saturday 12.30pm

Newcastle have develop into very tame below Eddie Howe.

When they roared to Champions League qualification they had been fierce, energetic and horrible to play towards. They are none of these issues of their present guise – and had been woefully uncovered at Fulham final weekend. A end result that had been coming for some time after some fine-margin victories the place that they had run away from their poor underlying numbers.

Since November final yr – a run of 33 video games – when assessing ever current Premier League groups, solely West Ham have averaged extra anticipated objectives towards per 90 than Newcastle – that is 1.83 a recreation.

And their photographs confronted information is sending out alarm bells.

Remarkably, Newcastle have conceded 10 or extra photographs of their final 26 Premier League fixtures and that equates to a photographs confronted per recreation common of 15.8 – the third worst report within the Premier League over that timeframe.

That incapacity to stem the circulation in the direction of your purpose leaves them mightily weak to a correct shellacking from Manchester City if Pep Guardiola’s staff are within the temper.

It would possibly sound obviously apparent however the Evens on supply for City to win and Erling Haaland to attain – a person who’s averaging a purpose each 53 minutes throughout his final 11 Premier League appearances – appears a winner in ready.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3

Arsenal vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Have a Premier League staff ever been shorter than 8/11 to win a recreation to nil?

Well, that is the worth surrounding this monstrous Arsenal defence shutting out Leicester and successful the sport. It’ll in all probability land however boy that could be a brief worth.

I’d a lot slightly again the below 2.5 objectives line at 6/4 with Sky Bet in anticipation that Arsenal could put their cue on the rack to protect vitality throughout this relentless run of seven video games in 23 days. This can be the kind of recreation the place they’re going to miss Martin Odegaard’s creativity to interrupt down what shall be a really low block by Leicester. A low-scoring house win it’s.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0

Brentford vs West Ham, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

No staff have made extra fouls within the Premier League than West Ham (80) and with the stress rising after what has been a shoddy begin to the season, I’d count on related averages to be hit right here.

With a central midfield of Lucas Paqueta (1.81 fouls per recreation in final 30 begins), Carlos Soler (made six fouls in simply 120 minutes of motion) and Tomas Soucek (1.58 fouls per recreation in final 30 begins), it is that space of the pitch the place the majority of foul play could happen.

Using the BuildABet operate with Sky Bet, I’d advise combining Lucas Paqueta to make 2+ fouls and Vitaly Janelt to be fouled not less than as soon as which brings out a 6/4 shot that stands an important likelihood of touchdown in a recreation the place the draw is fancied.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Chelsea vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Brighton to win the nook race at 2/1 with Sky Bet is a correct banging guess.

Teams that wish to play an aggressive excessive line are notoriously related to conceding fewer corners.

It is smart.

The key purpose of attempting to catch opposition gamers offside is to maintain them from having sustained stress in your purpose. If you’ll be able to maintain a staff away out of your field, then the chance of the opposition managing to publish photographs that would result in corners or getting deep down the wings to drive corners is decreased.

To simplify the speculation, the upper and extra aggressive the line of defense, the less corners are more likely to be conceded. And the market would not worth up the nook markets with that factored in, so we’re in enterprise.

The development is already there for Fabian Hurzeler’s groups conceding a low quantity of corners from his time at St Pauli, who received the Bundesliga 2 title final season and conceded simply 130 corners to a median of simply 3.8 per recreation – the fewest of any staff.

It has continued at Brighton, who’ve solely conceded simply 2.2 corners per 90 this season. It’s a method of soccer that does result in huge probabilities being supplied up on their purpose however not a excessive quantity of corners by way of sustained stress. They can prohibit Chelsea to a low quantity and rack up the nook depend on the different finish.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Brighton to win most corners (2/1 with Sky Bet)

Everton vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm

Despite winless begins for each groups, there have been shoots of hope in ahead areas.

The Everton entrance 4 mixed dangerously collectively at Leicester for 60 minutes and will have put the sport to mattress, whereas when you’ve got Eberechi Eze you at all times have an opportunity in a soccer match. Palace stay a menace to anybody.

Sean Dyche will need this to be a gritty, no-thrills model of recreation however Everton’s aren’t defending securely sufficient to do this.

The over 2.5 objectives line at 4/5 with Sky Bet ought to go shut.

As ought to Dwight McNeil’s goalscorer worth of 4/1 with Sky Bet.

He’s revelling in taking part in in a extra central position behind Dominic Calvert-Lewin and has posted two or extra photographs in 4 of his final 5 appearances, racking up 12 photographs in whole and located the web towards Aston Villa.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm

Backing the shape horse is normally a clever tactic in betting and Fulham are galloping alongside properly below Marco Silva, who but once more is displaying what a wise operator he’s. His entrance 4 are a harmful proposition, led by the irresistible Adama Traore down the best flank. A visit to Forest, who’re with out their star man Morgan Gibbs-White, appears a great alternative for the away aspect at 19/10 with Sky Bet.

Gibbs-White has missed seven video games since Forest had been promoted and so they’ve misplaced 5 of these, scoring simply 5 occasions within the course of and averaging simply 0.79 anticipated objectives per 90. Plus, the City Ground has solely seen the house aspect win on three events from the final 16 Premier League video games. Fulham ought to maintain no worry. They needs to be backed to keep away from defeat.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Fulham double likelihood (4/6 with Sky Bet, a part of 9/1 treble)

Wolves vs Liverpool, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

If you embody their Carabao Cup match towards Brighton, Wolves may have performed all seven of the highest eight within the Premier League already this season after this match. It’s been a rotten fixture record.

That makes them a tough staff to evaluate, particularly after they’ve posted some encouraging performances and racked up some wholesome underlying numbers. Gary O’Neil’s staff have conceded nearly seven extra objectives than their anticipated objectives towards numbers recommend – the most important defensive underperformance.

Those numbers will shut, probably this weekend. Wolves are owed a little bit of luck and Liverpool confirmed of their defeat to Nottingham Forest this Arne Slot staff will undergo some sticky patches this season. Wolves to keep away from defeat at 9/4 with Sky Bet appears an enormous worth.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Ipswich vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Ipswich are having to develop into a bit nastier than they had been within the Championship so as to try to survive at this stage.

They are making extra fouls (14.2), receiving extra yellow playing cards (3) and making extra tackles (18.4) than they did per 90 within the Championship. Aston Villa are additionally a staff that like confrontation and this appears a possible firecracker of an encounter the place the playing cards line is a worth play at 10/11 with Sky Bet for 50+ reserving factors.

Referees are as fussy as ever within the Premier League and 19 of the final 23 matches have seen 50+ reserving factors dished out.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: 50+ reserving factors (10/11 with Sky Bet, a part of 9/1 treble)

Manchester United vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

This must be the trickiest recreation of the weekend to kind a robust opinion on. It might finish 4-1 both method. It might finish 4-4. I have not a clue.

I do suppose Manchester United are bettering on what we noticed final season, only a fundamental drawdown of their baffling information from final season proves that. They’ve solely confronted 10 photographs per recreation this season after going through 17.6 per recreation final season and are averaging simply 3.1 corners per recreation conceded this season which was at a outstanding 7.3 final season, essentially the most of any Premier League staff.

Meanwhile, Tottenham’s report towards top-11 groups away from house because the begin of final season is terrible, successful two of 12 matches, and conceding a median of two.2 objectives per recreation.

The 13/10 on a house win did tempt me however I’m not fairly reliable sufficient of United but to take a position.

A high-scoring draw it’s then.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Bournemouth vs Southampton, Monday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports

When there may be Tyler Dibling, there may be hope for Southampton this season.

We would possibly simply be trying on the subsequent famous person in English soccer primarily based on his early output.

The 18-year-old academy product wowed on debut towards Manchester United, bamboozling Diogo Dalot who made 4 fouls towards him, together with one to win Saints a penalty. He then scored his first purpose of his profession within the 1-1 draw with Ipswich and created one other huge second for Cameron Archer, who hit the publish with a wasteful end.

Monday thirtieth September 6:30pm


Kick off 8:00pm

His attacking output and the best way he strikes with the ball jogs my memory of Jack Grealish – and he attracts fouls like him too, successful eight fouls in his two Premier League begins. His reverse quantity Milos Kerkez could be in for a tough night and appears a spot of worth to be carded at 9/2 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Jones Knows’ greatest bets of the weekend…