0
0
Ahead of every UFC occasion in 2024, UFC reporter Aaron Bronsteter (@aaronbronsteter), producer Dan Fernandes (@DanFernandes__) and author/editor Mike Johnston (@MikeyJ_MMA) will peruse the chances and make 4 betting predictions: one lock every to mix for a three-leg parlay, plus one extra favorite, underdog and dart throw wager.
The UFC returns to France for a 3rd consecutive September occasion on Saturday and the followers at Accor Arena in Paris shall be handled to a 14-fight card headlined by Benoit Saint Denis taking up Renato Moicano in an thrilling light-weight matchup.
Streaking middleweight contenders Nassourdine Imavov and Brendan Allen each look to increase their respective profitable streaks within the co-main occasion.
Saint Denis and Imavov lead a powerful contingent of French fighters featured on the six-fight foremost card.
Full UFC Paris battle card and predictions under.
MAIN CARD
— Renato Moicano vs. Benoit Saint Denis (5 rounds)
— Nassourdine Imavov vs. Brendan Allen
— William Gomis vs. Joanderson Brito
— Kevin Jousset vs. Bryan Battle
— Morgan Charriere vs. Gabriel Miranda
— Fares Ziam vs. Matt Frevola
PRELIMINARY CARD
— Ion Cutelaba vs. Ivan Erslan
— Oumar Sy vs. Jung Da Woon
— Ludovit Klein vs. Roosevelt Roberts
— Taylor Lapilus vs. Vince Morales
— Daria Zheleznyakova vs. Ailin Perez
— Daniel Barez vs. Victor Altamirano
— Nora Cornolle vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti
— Bolaji Oki vs. Chris Duncan
Editor’s Note: Gambling issues aren’t solely about dropping cash. They happen on a continuum, and may have an effect on an individual’s complete life. To study extra about creating a wholesome relationship to playing, and to seek out assets for assist, click on right here.
CAGE LOCKS
Which end result do we predict is absolutely the most secure wager on the cardboard? Each will decide our “lock” of the week to place collectively a “three-headed monster parlay.”
Aaron: Cornolle vs. Cavalcanti Starts Round 3 -555
This battle has the makings of being a principally pure kickboxing match given the stylistic backgrounds of each Cornolle and Cavalcanti and I believe it’s a close to certainty that it extends to all the fifteen minutes. I can predict with a excessive degree of certainty that this battle begins the third spherical barring harm.
Dan: Oumar Sy -625
Almost tempted to take Oumar Sy to win inside the gap right here, however for the sake of this parlay I’ll keep further protected. The Frenchman has an unbeaten report and I extremely doubt he takes his first loss on residence sail in opposition to an excessive underdog.
Mike: Morgan Charriere -650
He was on the unsuitable finish of a questionable cut up determination in opposition to Chepe Mariscal his final day out – an ideal battle by the way in which – and I believe Charriere will get again within the win column with a top quality victory in entrance of the house crowd. Going for a extra conservative parlay decide this week to assist prolong our streak to 4 in a row.
Three-headed Monster Parlay Odds: -173 (to win: $57.96)
2024 Record: 16-15 (present streak: W3)
Total 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$54.53
OUR FAVOURITE FAVOURITE
Which favorite with odds shorter than -200 are we most assured in?
Aaron: Taylor Lapilus by determination -175
I’m happy to see Vince Morales get one other shot within the UFC, however it is a tall order on quick discover, and I count on that this battle goes the gap with Lapilus profitable a workmanlike determination like he usually does.
Dan: Jacquelene Cavalcanti -185
Cavalcanti gained’t take pleasure in as a lot of a attain or top benefit on this one as she had in her earlier bout. But I count on her to land extra quantity and vital strikes in one other arduous fought win.
Mike: Benoit Saint Denis by KO/TKO -110
This decide has me feeling gross but together with his energy, aggression, coming off a loss through which he was not 100 per cent, combating at residence in a five-round foremost occasion, I see many avenues to BSD getting his hand raised. Then you add within the reality Moicano will get rocked in practically all his fights but additionally has the grappling abilities to negate a submission, and a stoppage by way of strikes presents itself. Keep in thoughts I additionally had Jalin Turner as my lock for UFC 300 and Moicano stuffed that wager like a lazy takedown try.
Aaron’s favorite report: 16-15
Total 2024 winnings on $100 bets: -$439.72
Dan’s favorite report: 21-10
Total 2024 winnings on $100 bets: +$335.39
Mike’s favorite report: 18-12-1
Total 2024 winnings on $100 bets: +$2.51
HUNGRIEST DOG
Which underdog on the cardboard are we most assured will get their hand raised in victory?
Aaron: Kevin Jousset +135
Jousset is the French fighter competing on his residence soil (regardless of coaching in New Zealand) and has each a hanging and grappling benefit over Battle, for my part. If he can determine Battle’s vary, I believe he finds a strategy to win this battle and at an underdog worth, I can’t go it up.
Dan: Matt Frevola +110
Expect the “Steamrolla” to do what he at all times does and aggressively transfer ahead on this one. It proved to be his downfall the final day out in opposition to Saint Denis, however I’m not satisfied Fares can do the identical and with Frevola being at plus cash that is fairly good worth.
Mike: Ion Cutelaba -105
This featured prelim must be wild, particularly early. Most Cutelaba fights find yourself trying comparable with the 205-pound brawler at all times prepared to exit on his protect. His power of schedule is far sturdy so if his chin holds up I like his possibilities because the extra skilled canine.
Aaron’s underdog report: 12-19
Total 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$155
Dan’s underdog report: 9-22
Total 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$1,067
Mike’s underdog report: 12-19
Total 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$195
DART THROW
What’s a longshot play with odds of +500 or longer that we like?
Aaron: Oki vs. Duncan to be gained by cut up determination +550
Interesting matchup between Oki and Duncan, which I believe could be carefully contested if Duncan can face up to Oki’s energy within the first. If that occurs, I can foresee a cut up determination on this one.
Dan: Moicano by TKO/KO +1400
Following his win over Jalen Turner at UFC 300, Moicano reminded everybody to not depend him out. Saint Denis confirmed the final day out in opposition to Poirier that he could be dropped. Imagine the post-fight interview if this truly occurs!
Mike: Point to be deducted throughout Imavov vs. Allen +2000
A real dart throw (most likely one which’ll miss the board solely) however each guys can get chippy at occasions, each out and in of the cage, and Imavov notably will sometimes foul his opponent throughout a contest. He was even rightfully deducted some extent in his February win over Roman Dolidze. It’s solely a three-rounder so clearly not as probably as if it have been scheduled for 5.
Aaron’s dart throw report: 5-25-1
Total 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: +$150
Dan’s dart throw report: 3-28
Total 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: -$1,050
Mike’s dart throw report: 5-25-1
Total 2024 Winnings on $100 bets: +$1,350
(Betting odds above by way of BetMGM, submitted at varied occasions all through week and topic to vary previous to fights)
Source link
#UFC #Cage #Locks #Saint #Denis #win #column #Moicano #Paris
