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Since 2018, the Milwaukee Brewers rank third within the National League with 580 common season wins, have booked six journeys to the post-season and have claimed 4 division titles.
But with only one playoff collection win to point out for it, the Brewers have been unable to resolve the puzzle of October baseball. They’ll get their likelihood this 12 months towards the New York Mets, who’ve continued to shock in what was extensively thought-about a transition season. But don’t inform these Mets, as they’ve continued to show there’s no counting this group out.
On the opposite facet of the NL bracket, the San Diego Padres will welcome the Atlanta Braves to Petco Park. After buying and selling away Juan Soto, the Padres have emerged as some of the balanced groups in baseball, and appear to be peaking on the proper time.
Just making the playoffs proved to be a problem for the injury-laden Braves. But now that it’s in, Atlanta will look to recapture among the magic from its 2021 World Series run.
With all that mentioned, let’s dive into each matchups.
No. 3 Milwaukee Brewers (93-69) vs. No. 6 New York Mets (89-73)
Brewers gained the season collection, 5-1, outscoring the Mets 28-17.
What’s working for the Brewers:
Milwaukee cruised to the NL Central title behind probably the greatest bullpens in baseball and the emergence of a number of star-level contributors within the lineup. The Brewers bullpen has been strong all 12 months lengthy however enters the post-season firing on all cylinders. The reduction crew is headlined by Devin Williams, Joel Payamps and Aaron Ashby and ranks among the many NL leaders in ERA (2.72), strikeout minus stroll proportion (18.3) and HR/9 (0.81) for the reason that All-Star break. On the offensive facet, Jackson Chourio slashed .310/.363/.552 with 12 homers within the second half to rank tenth in baseball in fWAR over that span, producing a formidable middle-of-the-order trio alongside Willy Adames and William Contreras.
What’s working for the Mets:
The Mets have rewritten the narrative of their season with an electrical sprint to October, successful video games at a 105-victory tempo since mid-August. The beginning quartet of Sean Manaea, David Peterson, Luis Severino and José Quintana have finished some heavy lifting within the second half, serving to New York to the perfect second-half rotation ERA within the National League (3.47). The doubtless MVP runner-up, Francisco Lindor, has put his stamp on this Mets season, producing large swing after large swing, with maybe none bigger than his ninth-inning heroics in Monday’s doubleheader, clinching New York’s spot within the post-season.
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Potential Achilles heel for the Brewers:
After shedding Corbin Burnes to the Baltimore Orioles and Brandon Woodruff to shoulder surgical procedure within the low season, the Brewers rotation was stuffed with query marks behind Freddy Peralta coming into 2024. And whereas the likes of Colin Rea and Tobias Myers stepped as much as assist carry Milwaukee by means of the common season, the Brewers nonetheless don’t have a definitive Game 2 starter behind Peralta. Milwaukee’s starters are additionally limping into October, proudly owning a 5.06 ERA over the ultimate month with the second-worst dwelling run price within the NL.
Potential Achilles heel for the Mets:
Bullpen depth. With the Mets’ post-season hopes coming all the way down to the wire, they’ve needed to tax their reduction corps over the previous few days. That contains the 66 pitches nearer Edwin Díaz threw the final two days, which is able to doubtless have him unavailable for Game 1 of the wild card. That’ll put some further strain on the likes of Phil Maton, Reed Garrett and Danny Young, all of whom have pitched to various ranges of success this season. With a middle-of-the-pack bullpen, issues may get slightly uncomfortable for the Mets all through the collection if they’re compelled to make use of a few of their much less dependable arms in an enormous spot.
It’ll all come all the way down to…
If the Brewers can silence Lindor. Since getting back from a again damage that stored him out for simply lower than two weeks, the Mets shortstop has picked up proper the place he left off. He’s picked up six hits and two homers over 4 video games and hasn’t appeared hampered by the again in any respect. He’s New York’s desk setter and greatest participant, so the onus falls onto Milwaukee’s workers to restrict his impression.
No. 4 Padres (93-69) vs. No. 5 Atlanta Braves (89-73)
Padres gained the season collection, 4-3, outscoring the Braves 26-22.
What’s working for the Padres:
Since the commerce deadline, San Diego has had MLB’s greatest document, its third-best wRC+, ninth-best rotation ERA, and sixth-best bullpen ERA. The Padres are excelling in each side of the sport, and their stars are taking part in like stars — Jackson Merrill, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado mixed to depart the yard 17 occasions in September. Starters Dylan Cease, Michael King and Joe Musgrove are all sporting sub-3.00 second-half ERAs and get handy the ball off to a bullpen which owns the perfect Stuff+ quantity in baseball and options skilled late-game pitchers Jason Adam, Tanner Scott and Robert Suarez.
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What’s working for the Braves:
With Ronald Acuña Jr., Austin Riley, Ozzie Albies, Michael Harris II and Sean Murphy all lacking vital time this season, the Braves have struggled to push runs throughout the plate. So, whereas Marcell Ozuna might be on a majority of MVP ballots and Harris and Matt Olson have turned it on in September, it’s been Atlanta’s pitching workers that dragged it right into a seventh-straight post-season look. The Braves ended the 12 months with the bottom staff ERA in MLB, and that excellence continued in September as Atlanta pitched to a 2.72 ERA and racked up 269 strikeouts.
Potential Achilles heel for the Padres:
Hitting towards left-handed pitching. Hearing that NL Cy Young favorite Chris Sale will doubtless miss the wild-card collection should have been music to Padres hitters’ ears, as San Diego has struggled towards southpaws all season lengthy. Since the commerce deadline, the Padres have a .671 OPS towards lefties, an excessive dropoff from their .784 mark towards righties. Atlanta southpaw Max Fried is lined as much as begin Game 2 of the collection, so if Sale in some way finds a strategy to pitch, there could possibly be simply sufficient of a chink in San Diego’s armour for the Braves to capitalize on.
Potential Achilles heel for the Braves:
As good as Atlanta’s pitching has been this season, it’s in for a severe check the following few days. Between Sale’s unclear standing, having to make use of leverage relievers Joe Jiménez and Raisel Iglesias in each halves on the doubleheader and having Spencer Schwellenbach and Charlie Morton pitch within the days main as much as Game 1 of the wild card, the Braves could possibly be severely shorthanded to open the collection. While Fried and Reynaldo Lopez are set for Games 2 and three, Atlanta must win one of many first two to make that matter.
It’ll all come all the way down to…
If Atlanta’s hitters can clear up San Diego’s pitching. Top-to-bottom, the Padres might need the perfect group of arms of any staff within the post-season. With 4 legit starters and 6 relievers you possibly can belief, the Braves’ bats are going to want to discover a gear that’s been largely out of attain for them this 12 months in the event that they need to pull off the upset.
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